SASSLA has recently developed a paper which develops a future scenario for the function of the Band A Principal and Preschool Director (PSD) labour market. The paper is available to read here.
The development of a future scenario of the functioning of the Band A labour market is a valuable tool to assess future risks and weigh up countervailing policy options. It can provide important information on how to approach topical policy areas including the current proposal to offer Band A position as permanent roles.
Labour market analysis looks at three key variables:
In developing a future scenario, an assessment of how economic, social, policy and demographic contexts is required. This assessment requires exploration of existing drivers and trends that will shape the behaviour of the people who participate in the market.
Based on the scenario developed, the employee behaviour will be influenced by trends which restricts or limits access to, or do not incentivise employees to apply for Band A roles. This is an important area for future inquiry and research.
Under the future scenario developed, the pool of potential applicants for Principal roles will be lower than historical averages due to restricted access and disincentives to actively seek out Band A roles. Under this scenario the following policy considerations are evident:
Under the scenario presented, candidate supply conditions for Band A school leaders will remain challenging for the foreseeable future. Further deterioration of conditions is more likely than improvement. Preschool Director market conditions are likely to deteriorate in the medium term due to internal supply pressures and increased intersectoral competition due to future government investment in early education in South Australia and other States.
